May 13, 2010

2010 Preakness Picks

So my Kentucky Derby picks weren’t very good this year, but I’m hoping to make up for that with a successful Preakness.
Preakness2010 First off, I’m really disappointed Ice Box isn’t running.  I loved the way he tore through the field after a bad start at the Derby, and I thought he’d be a great pick here.
Now for the horses that are running on Saturday (check the Past Performances if you want to follow along):

  1. Aikenite (20-1): Hasn’t won since he broke his maiden last August.
  2. Schoolyard Dreams (15-1): The extra 1/4 mile over his longest money finish is going to be too much.
  3. Pleasant Prince (20-1): He’s run 6 times already in 2010, including 3 times in the past 8 weeks.  Primed for a burnout.
  4. Northern Giant (30-1): Just broke his maiden in February, and hasn’t done a ton since then.
  5. Yawanna Twist (30-1): Not a ton of experience, but good showings with good Beyers in two G3 races this year.  I like him.
  6. Jackson Bend (12-1): Not a factor in the Derby.  Seems to have plateaued.
  7. Lookin At Lucky (3-1): Had a tough trip in the Derby, but showed he belonged there.  File it as a maybe.
  8. Super Saver (5-2): Another rail bid at the Derby by Calvin Borel.  This horse looks too good to ignore, but I’m not wild about him as a Triple Crown threat.
  9. Caracortado (10-1): A synthetic specialist who was 5-0 until he moved up in class and faced stiffer challenges.
  10. Paddy O’Prado (9-2): Great run out of nowhere in the Derby.  Maybe he likes the dirt better than turf or synthetic?
  11. First Dude (20-1): The results just aren’t good enough to justify putting him in this race.
  12. Dublin (10-1): Lost ground in the Derby at the end, and that’s never a good sign.
Unfortunately, I liked the three favorites, Lookin At Lucky, Super Saver, and Paddy O’Prado. 
I’ll wuss out and take an exacta box of those three, and I’ll also put $5 on Yawanna Twist across the board.
So that’s:
$2 Ex Box 7,8,10
$5 WPS 5
That’s a $27 bet, and I can only hope that a chalk finish would win me my money back.  Ugh.

Speaking of running, our friend Jason Reddish is running for Clerk of Court in Howard County. Check out his website at

1 Responses:

Anonymous said...

"broke his maiden"


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