April 18, 2007

Super Bowl XLII Odds

Courtesy of Bodog Sportsbook:

Arizona Cardinals 40/1
Atlanta Falcons 50/1
Baltimore Ravens 15/1
Buffalo Bills 50/1
Carolina Panthers 20/1
Chicago Bears 10/1
Cincinnati Bengals 15/1
Cleveland Browns 100/1
Dallas Cowboys 15/1
Denver Broncos 15/1
Detroit Lions 100/1
Green Bay Packers 50/1
Houston Texans 100/1
Indianapolis Colts 8/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 28/1
Kansas City Chiefs 30/1
Miami Dolphins 40/1
Minnesota Vikings 70/1
New England Patriots 9/2
New Orleans Saints 18/1
New York Giants 20/1
New York Jets 30/1
Oakland Raiders 70/1
Philadelphia Eagles 18/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 15/1
San Diego Chargers 6/1
San Francisco 49ers 45/1
Seattle Seahawks 12/1
St.Louis Rams 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70/1
Tennessee Titans 40/1
Washington Redskins 50/1

So here are my thoughts:

New Orleans Saints at 18:1. They haven't lost anybody and they made a damn good run last year. Granted, they will have to play a schedule commensurate with their better finish last year. And they won't have the immediate return to New Orleans post-Katrina emotion. But I see no reason to think that Drew Brees and Reggie Bush will have a down year. Plus, I think it's always a little better to give a little more credence to an NFC team simply because it's easier to get out of the NFC and make the Super Bowl than it is to get out of the AFC. An NFC team with the same talent as an AFC team should always have better odds to win the Super Bowl just because it's easier to make it to the game out of their own conference.

San Diego Chargers at 6:1. Their division is always tough (aside from Oakland), and trying to get PhiLLLLip Rivers into the swing of a new coach will be tough. Especially when this coach is Norv Turner. Anytime you have L.T. on your team you're a threat, but I still think they'll be vulnerable to a team with a good passing game (i.e. Colts and Patriots).


1 Responses:

J-Red said...

MOST OVERVALUED: Patriots. The AFC is too strong for anyone to be 4.5/1.

Bears at 10/1. Way too many questions and problems.

KC at 30/1. There's no way they're in the top half of the possible SB champs with Shields and Roaf gone and major QB questions.

Honorable Mention: Redskins, just because anything short of 1000/1 is overvalued.

MOST UNDERVALUED: 49ers at 45/1, just because they play in a weak division in the NFC and once a team gets to the game who knows what could happen.

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