October 29, 2008

College Football Picks - Week 10

Our college football picks are now brought to you by BetUS.

This week presents some huge exciting games, and a whole lot of nothing else. So I'll be picking the big games and only a couple others.

Motivational video for Florida? Will it be enough to get a win? What will Richt have them do this year?

GEORGIA (+5.5) over Florida - Last year, the Dawgs pulled out all the stops, and gang-celebrated their way to a victory. The problem for them this year is the injured list, where many of their top players, especially left tackles, are. After struggling early, Florida has found their stride offensively, as exhibited by the dismantling of LSU. Georgia did the same, but there were a couple defensive TD's thrown in there. Even though the Gators have looked a touch better lately, I like the offensive trio of Stafford, Moreno, and Green over Tebow and Harvin. Since the game is arguably too close to call and played on a neutral field, you have to like having a couple points to play with for the possibility of a close game.

Texas (-3.5) over TEXAS TECH - The Red Raiders' best victory this year was last week against Kansas on the road, a team that has 0 defense. The only other decent team they've played (Nebraska) took them to OT in Lubbock. Mike Leach's troops beat OU in Lubbock last year, but the Horns have earned the #1 ranking and will not overlook this game. I don't think Tech breaks 30 in this game, and the Horns win easily.

Does this sound like a coach smart enough to beat Texas?

And now the other games:
Kansas State (+11) over KANSAS - As mentioned, the Jayhawks have no defense, and K State is better than people think.

Florida State (+2) over GEORGIA TECH - The option offense has really struggled lately, and FSU's defense has the speed and strength to blow up the Jackets' incompetent (at times) offensive line. I would take FSU by a TD, as their offense seems to improve every week.

VIRGINIA (-2.5) over Miami - Suffice it to say that I was impressed with UVA after seeing them in person, at least enough to favor them at home against an average Canes team.

Updated lines for these and all the other games are available at BetUS.

Last Week: 5-3-0
Season: 33-21-2

5 Responses:

michael said...

What, no analysis of the Homecoming game for my esteemed alma mater, the University of Southern California? The line is USC (-42.5) versus Washington. It's gonna be a barn burner!

Russell said...

The next time the spread on a USC game will be under 10 points will be their bowl game, and that might not even happen. Last year, they were 11 point favorites over Illinois in the Rose Bowl if I recall correctly, and they covered.

The last time USC was favored by that much was a mere 2 weeks ago, they won 69-0 at Wash St. I refuse to pick games where the coach's decision to pull the starters could determine which team covers.

Jeremy said...

BYE (+infinity) over Maryland - The Terps tend to play to their level of competition. This will be the ultimate test.

"ben" said...

How about the over/under on Michigan-Purdue? I'll take the under, whatever it is.

"ben" said...

Looks like I should have taken the over. Figured the O was worse than the D. Whoops!

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