October 17, 2008

NFL Picks Week 7

Brien (18-12):

Another good week for me last week, but of course I didn't actually bet my picks this time.

Tennessee (-8) over KANSAS CITY - The Titans haven't lost yet and also haven't failed to cover. Even as road favorites by more than a touchdown, I'm going to keep picking them.

TAMPA BAY (-11) over Seattle - The Bucs are 5-1 ATS, and the Seahawks are 1-4.

Indianapolis (-1.5) over GREEN BAY - I think last week we saw the return of the real Colts.

NY Jets (-3) over OAKLAND - I still haven't seen anything from the Raiders that makes me think they're any good.

CAROLINA (-3) over New Orleans - This game features the top rated passing offense in the league (Saints) against the second best pass defense (Panthers). Always pick defense over offense.

Jason (15-15-0)
I'm as good at picking games as an inanimate object.

Cleveland (+7.5) over WASHINGTON
- It's a lot to ask, but I just need Cleveland to take advantage of the Skins' non-existant secondary this week.

Indianapolis (-1.5) over GREEN BAY
- I really think the 4th quarter of the Texans game was the turning point.

Dallas (-7) over ST. LOUIS
- I think Dallas is going to play a statement game after a tumultuous week.

MIAMI (-2.5) over Baltimore
- I think Baltimore is settling in for the season we expected.

CINCINNATI (+10) over Pittsburgh
- Just because it's their turn.

Jeremy (16-14-0)
As tempting as the line may be in Dallas-St. Louis, avoid the Dallas game like the plague, as there's a pretty big difference between Brad Johnson and Tony Romo, and right now, we have no friggin idea who will start.

New York Jets (-3) over OAKLAND - Yes, it's a long trip west, but Oakland is HORRIBLE.

BUFFALO (+1) over San Diego - The team that I believe will win the AFC East getting points at home against a team making a long trip east. Sign me up.

WASHINGTON (-7.5) over Cleveland - I have to bet again on my 'Skins. And I can't imagine they'll let this be a trap game like last week, especially since Cleveland showed signs of life on Monday night (albeit counterfeit signs of life)

San Francisco (+11) over NEW YORK GIANTS - The Niners soundly beat the Eagles for three quarters last week and get a banged up Eli this week. I still like the Giants, but not by that much.

CHICAGO (-3.5) over Minnesota - Soon Bill Simmons will be talking about the "Brad Childress face."

Magic 8 Ball (15-15-0)
The Magic 8 Ball was brought back solidly to Earth last week by an 0-fer-5 week. It's probably harder to do that than it is to pick 5 games correctly.

OAKLAND (+3) over New York Jets - "My sources say yes." (Raiders will beat the spread)

San Diego (-1) over BUFFALO - "My answer is no." (Bills won't beat spread)

WASHINGTON (+7.5) over Cleveland - "My sources say yes." (Redskins will beat the spread)

NEW YORK GIANTS (-11) over San Francisco - "Signs point to yes." (Giants will beat the spread)

Minnesota (+3.5) over CHICAGO - "No." (Bears won't beat the spread)

Russell (16-14-0):
My return to the cellar appears more imminent with each passing week.

HOUSTON (-9.5) over Detroit -
Yeah, the Lions are that bad, plus the Texans can score.

Indy (-1.5) over GREEN BAY -
The Colts are back.

TAMPA BAY (-11) over Seattle - Seneca Wallace on the road against a really good defense? I don't think so.

NY Jets (-3) over OAKLAND - Favre and the gang over the rudderless Raiders.

Pittsburgh (-10) over CINCINNATI - Risky on the size of the spread, but the Bengals have looked really terrible lately.

Jeremy: NYJ, BUF, WAS, SF, CHI
Russell: HOU, IND, TB, NYJ, PIT

5 Responses:

Derrick S said...

CAROLINA (-3) over New Orleans - This game features the top rated passing offense in the league (Saints) against the second best pass defense (Panthers). Always pick defense over offense.

You are limiting yourself to a very one sided view of the matchups to take the field this Sunday. This game also features a mostly running game based offense (Carolina) against a defense (New Orleans) that has been very stout against strong running teams in their last two games (Minnesota and Oakland). So, which defense do you pick to shut down which offense (is the REAL question) in this game? I say the Saints offense will put up more points over the Panthers defense than the Carolina offense willl be able to put up against the New Orleans defense. Saints over Panthers.

J-Red said...

NO's passing D stats are very slanted because of their DB injuries earlier. It's actually a solid D overall. I agree that the Saints have the edge.

big tuna said...

don't you hate it when that happens?

J-Red said...

What? When I go 1-4 and then get goaded into agreeing with a pick that makes me 1-5?

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I like these 3 favorites for week 8: San Diego -3, Washington -7.5, and Carolina -4.5.

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