October 10, 2008

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Brien (14-11-0):
There are two "stay away" games this week: Redskins/Rams, and Vikings/Lions. The Rams and Lions are both winless against the spread, but they're both getting around two touchdowns to teams I still have big questions about. Don't bet those games.

Chicago (-2.5) over ATLANTA - The Falcons' wins are over the Lions, the Chiefs, and the Packers.

Miami (+3) over HOUSTON - This time next week we'll be talking about whether or not the Dolphins are for real.

Green Bay (+2) over SEATTLE - Both of these teams are bad, but the Seahawks are worse.

TAMPA BAY (-1.5) over Carolina - This should be one of the better games this week, but I like the Bucs (4-1 ATS) at home.

NY JETS (-6) over Cincinnati - The Bengals will win a few games this year, but not in New Jersey against a Jets team coming off a bye week.

Jason (12-13-0): I'm slowly crawling back to even.

INDIANAPOLIS (-4.5) over Baltimore - The Ravens have had two frustrating weeks, playing over their heads but losing by three points each to Pitt and Tenn. I think Indy breaks through and the frustration wears the Ravens down this weekend.

Dallas (-5) over ARIZONA - Arizona is hurting a little bit and Dallas is ready for a reestablish dominance game.

SAN DIEGO (-6) over New England - New England, obviously, has stopped SD from achieving much during the LDT era. I think they take out their frustrations on this cheap Patriots knock-off.

Cincinnati (+6) over NEW YORK JETS - Cincy is playing better and this is a good game for them to punch somebody back.

St. Louis (+14) over WASHINGTON - St. Louis seems energized over the firing of Scott Linehan. That won't make them better, but might help them keep it closer early.

Jeremy (13-12-0): A tough slate of games this week to pick from...

St. Louis (+14) over WASHINGTON - I love this 'Skins team, am ready to rev up the bandwagon, but I'm not getting the 1991-type vibe from this team in that they will absolutely destroy teams from the initial whistle who are not in their same league. This Rams team is infinitely weaker than this 'Skins team. But the 'Skins haven't shown me that same killer instinct yet.

ATLANTA (+2.5) over Chicago - This is definitely an interesting game and a tough one to pick. Color me impressed with Matt Ryan's performance on the road last week. A tougher Bears D this week, but I'll take the points.

Carolina (+1.5) over TAMPA - This line just seems a little strange to me. Carolina has four impressive wins this year and is an underdog to an erratic Tampa team.

Green Bay (+2) over SEATTLE - Wait, so let me get this straight... the Packers are underdogs to a team that lost by 38 points last week? The Packers aren't as good as the Giants and Qwest is a tough place to play, but this is another odd line.

Giants (-7.5) over CLEVELAND - Cleveland is certainly not an easy place to play on Monday Night, but the Giants are damn good and I'm seeing at least a ten-point win.

Magic 8 Ball (15-10-0):

WASHINGTON (-14) over St. Louis - "My source say yes." (Redskins will beat the spread)
Chicago (-2.5) over ATLANTA - "My answer is no." (Falcons won't beat the spread)
Carolina (+1.5) over TAMPA - "No." (Bucs won't beat the spread)
SEATTLE (-2) over Green Bay - "Yes." (Seahawks will beat the spread)
Giants (-7.5) over CLEVELAND - "No." (Browns won't beat the spread)

Russell (15-10-0):

Baltimore (+4.5) over INDIANAPOLIS - The Colts are not the same this year. They needed 21 pts in the last 5 minutes last week, and are 0-2 at home. Life won't get easier against the rejuvenated Ravens D.

Carolina (+1.5) over TAMPA BAY - The Panthers are remembering how to play with a passing game. Look out.

Chicago (-2.5) over ATLANTA - The Falcons have been good at home, but only because their opponents couldn't stop the run. The Bears can.

SAN FRANCISCO (+5) over Philadelphia - The Eagles have no offense without a healthy Westbrook, and the 49ers are respectable.

St. Louis (+14) over WASHINGTON - I'm just worried about this game, and I'm not sure why. Sure the Rams played Buffalo close, but they've looked terrible on the road all year. Let's hope I'm wrong.


Brien -CHI, MIA, GB, TB, NYJ
Jeremy - STL, ATL, CAR, GB, NYG

Magic 8 - WAS, CHI, CAR, SEA, NYG

5 Responses:

Brien said...

Lots of disagreement this week. The one game where three people agreed, I said no one should pick.

big tuna said...

You guys stayed away from the Lions and the 13 points they are getting. I heard the over under is also 13.

Russell said...

I find it mind-boggling that an offense with Calvin Johnson and Roy Williams can't put up 30 points every week. Is the O-line that bad?

big tuna said...

Yes. And the quarterback is really bad. And don't forget the coaching staff's commitment to the run even though the recievers are the strength of the team and Rudi Johnson is your running back. They fired Martz because they wanted to run all the time and he wanted to throw. Well it turns out they have to throw all the time anyway because they get down 21-0 every game.

Oh and Roy Williams is a baby who keeps pouting even after he drops a pass or runs the wrong route. Then he goes and sits on the defense's bench while the rest of the offense tries pulling their heads out of their asses.

"ben" said...

I'd like to echo everything Big Tuna said.

It was hilarious watching last week's game on TV. Your friend Brian Billick was in the booth (I guess they haze newbies in broadcasting, too).

The three man booth spent the entire game carrying on about how incredibly hapless, helpless, and incompetent the Lions are.

At half time, Billick said something to the effect of about how long he's been in coaching, and he's unsure of what Marinelli can possibly go say to his players right now.

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