October 2, 2009

College Football Picks - Week 5

After another brutal week last week, it appears my success will be cyclical, meaning this will be another good week. Also, Wake's loss in OT last week (as crushing as it was to those who had them ATS) was another reminder of why I think OT should be counted as a tie for gambling purposes (especially against the spread). Claiming that a team won by 7 and therefore covered a 6 pt spread is rather ridiculous if it takes them 3 OT's to do so. Anyway, enough soapbox and on to the picks:

Clemson (-13) over MARYLAND - The positive side for the Terps is that the defense showed up last week, at least for 3+ quarters. Too bad the offense gave up more points than it scored... That loss was to a team with zero passing game, and the Terps knew that going in. Clemson has no such limitations, and the Tigers' two losses are to good teams. While the Terps usually play up to their opposition, this year looks like it will get ugly for Maryland in a hurry.

Georgia Tech (-5.5) over MISS ST - A blowout last year in Atlanta, the game will be closer but still a Wreck victory by enough to cover.

MIAMI (+7.5) over Oklahoma - The Canes were embarrassed last week, and get a rookie QB in his first road test. Should be a close game, but could get ugly if the Sooners can't pressure Harris.

STANFORD (-5.5) over Ucla - Harbaugh has a solid team, and Neuheisel still needs to find a good, healthy QB, among other things.

CAL (+4.5) over Usc - The Bears are not as bad as they looked last week, and I think the Trojans are still overrated. Without an experienced QB with the full confidence of the team (or full health), the Trojans are at risk, and the Bears might just win this at home.

GEORGIA (-3.5) over Lsu - The Tigers have not impressed all year, and Mark Richt has been the better coach in this series. I really liked this spread when it was -2.5 earlier in the week...

Arkansas (-1) over TEXAS A&M - The Razorbacks will impress against a team closer to their level.

Last week: 1-4
Season: 13-14

4 Responses:

gpb said...

I'm honestly concerned that I should just stop picking. Someone told me Vegas pays if you get them all wrong.

Last week: 0-6
Season: 8-17

Clemson -13 MATYLAND. I wonder how inspired the Terps are this season.

UNC -13 UVA. Whos can't be good. Right? Plus they don't have Derrick Morgan.

VT -16.5 Duke. Hoping VT isn't FSU consistent.

Notre Dame -12.5 Washington. For a guy that hates the Irish, I like them a lot this year.

GT -5.5 Miss St. I liked our performance against UNC. I also loved that our seats were under the North stands overhang so we stayed dry in the rain.

Buffalo +7.5 Central Mich. Buffalo can't be that bad.

Russell said...

Picking against the chumps of the ACC was not a good decision this week. But GO TERPS!!

Or maybe I should say "Thank you, Clemson!" But hey, a victory is a victory for the Terps right now, esp in the ACC against a decent team.

gpb said...

Could be worse. You could be the Heels and lose to UVA...

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